The capricious U.S. leader could still be a substantial participant in the future federal election, even though Canada received a temporary restraint from Donald Trump’s price threats on Monday. A fortnight in elections is a long time, according to the proverb. Trump’s first two weeks in office have appeared to be many lifetimes in 2025, at least in terms of the effect on the American political discussion. The opposition Republicans have been working on the carbon taxes for the forthcoming election for a year. However, with the risk of Trump’s tariffs hanging over Canada’s nose and Democratic administration backers from abstaining from a client carbon price, it appears as though who is best to guide the nation through a possible trade war with our largest economic partner. The Liberal Party’s lead researcher for the 2019 national vote was Dan Arnold, the next day People cast ballots while Donald Trump was in business. Arnold said that at the moment, Trump had been in power for about three decades and the North American Free Trade Agreement had been renegotiated, making the U. S. leader a” extra problem” for American voters. It could be different this time round, according to Arnold. ” Elections are more often than not about the future than the past, so what happened in the past in 2019 was relevant, ( but ) now tariffs are the present and the future. And I think that’s … going to be a lot more on women’s minds because it’s continued, and moreover I think there’s definitely more of a strong danger”, Arnold said in an interview with Global News. After the following elections, anyone who becomes prime minister will have to rehear the American political firehose. Trump and his team took office just over two weeks ago with a flurry of executive orders, some of which his supporters claimed were unconstitutional, on everything from restricting transgender rights to the United States leaving the World Health Organization. They’ve also taken steps to fire federal employees, ending diversity, equity and inclusion ( DEI ) programs across the government, declared a national border emergency and a national energy emergency, and issued a blanket pardon for demonstrators and far-right militias that stormed the U. S. Capitol building on Jan. 6, 2020, while targeting the FBI agents who investigated their crimes. Trump also took the decision to impose blanket tariffs on all Canadian, Mexican, and Chinese goods entering the United States, a move that appears to be a political ploy used to overthrow the opposition, American voters, and even allies. The governments of Mexico and Canada were able to persuade the administration to halt the tariffs, at least temporarily, on Monday in exchange for border security measures that both countries had already promised to do. Affordable issues will continue to be a top concern for most voters, according to Hamish Marshall, the Conservative Party’s national campaign director for 2019. “( Trump ) was a useful bogeyman for the Liberals. Although it didn’t seem like it changed many people, Marshall said it was a good way for the Liberals to spur their base on to vote, according to Marshall in an interview. ” I think they’re going to try” to use Trump that way again, Marshall said. The question of whether or not it will work is another story, but I believe the cost of living will continue to be the main focus of the campaign. A survey conducted by Abacus Data in mid-January found that 47 % of respondents rated” the rising cost of living” as the top problem facing Canada, followed by housing affordability and accessibility ( 40 % ), and affordability and housing affordability ( 48 % ). The survey interviewed 1, 500 Canadians from Jan. 9 to Jan. 14 and has a margin of error comparable to 2.3 per cent. Dan Mader, who served as policy director for ErinO’Toole’s 2021 campaign, doesn’t anticipate that will change before the next general election, expected this spring shortly after Parliament resumes under a new Liberal prime minister. People have been considering the possibility of Donald Trump becoming president and how that might affect things, but some things are still going to be issues. Cost of living is still going to be an issue”, Mader said. There does appear to be some movement in the national polling numbers, according to the most recent survey Global News, but the Liberal leadership candidates are still backing away from a consumer carbon price.” How much they can be trusted for having it for so long and what impact any other issues they do are going to have are still going to be issues, and still be issues that play to the Conservatives,” says Global News. The Conservatives still enjoy a commanding lead at 41 per cent support nationwide, followed by the Liberal Party ( 28 per cent ) and the New Democrats ( 16 per cent ). However, that’s an eight percentage point increase for the Liberals since Ipsos ‘ poll in early January, primarily at the expense of the Conservatives, who dropped five percentage points over the same time. One percentage point was lost for the NDP. The Ipsos poll was conducted between January 30 and February 3, and interviewed 1, 000 voting-aged Canadians online. It is considered accurate within 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. It’s unclear whether the movement stemmed from Justin Trudeau’s announcement that he intends to step down, the looming threat posed by Donald Trump, or a combination of the two. There is another” X” factor those in Trump’s orbit could influence a Canadian campaign, however. Elon Musk, the world’s richest man, who is now playing a central — and unelected — role in the Trump Administration’s push to slash the civil service and sharply curb government spending, has not been shy about meddling in foreign countries ‘ domestic affairs. Musk has used his$ 44-billion soapbox, the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, to support far-right parties in Italy, Germany and criticize the U. K.’s Labour government, and to encourage Trump to punish his native South Africa over” white genocide” conspiracy theories. Although Canada lacks a real equivalent to the far-right Alternative for Germany ( AfD ) or the Brothers of Italy ( FdI ), the country’s leader has repeatedly praised Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and suggested that he should become the country’s next prime minister. The majority of discussions about foreign interference in Canadian elections have focused on covertly influencing the country’s politics, but Musk’s interventions are very overt. And while the majority of Canadians are not on X and more have left since Musk’s takeover, internet chatter has a way of turning itself into real-life conversations, according to Concordia professor Fenwick McKelvy. ” Content is constantly shared across platforms. According to McKelvy, whose research includes social media and internet policy, it is important to recognize that any one platform is a part of a network of circulating content, even if Twitter or X is no longer as influential as it was.” Content does still circulate across the internet, and it’s important to recognize that any one platform is part of a network of circulating content,” said McKelvy. ” It’s really quite exceptional” .With a mere 17 days, Trump and his acolytes effectively upended the Canadian political debate. And there’s more than 1, 400 left in the U. S. president’s term.
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