A majority of Canadians help Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s decision to step down, but his news this week has certainly changed the Democratic party’s fortunes, new voting suggests. Eight in 10 (81 per share ) Canadians said they are in favour of Trudeau’s departure, with more than half saying they” highly review” of it, according to an Ipsos poll conducted primarily for Global News and released on Wednesday. When Trudeau announced his intention to step down, he stated that it has become evident to him that if he is having to fight internal conflicts, he cannot be the best choice in the upcoming election. Nevertheless, his decision to make way for a new president has never moved the needle much for the Liberals ‘ hopes, with support for the party dropping by one place, down to 20 per cent, since related voting was done in late December. Support for the Liberals under Trudeau continues to be unmet among electorates based on Ipsos polls from December 20 that put the party at near-historic lows of 20 %. Conservatives received 46 % of the vote in the Dec. 20 polling, while the NDP received only 17 % of the vote, compared to Liberals, who received 20 % last month. Now that Trudeau has resigned, 57 % of Canadians said they are unlikely to vote for the party, and 23 % said they are likely to do so in the next election. 4: 34
Liberal Party prospects in the polls Two days after Trudeau announced his resignation as the nation’s prime minister and party leader. Trudeau had been receiving increasingly loud calls from within his own Liberal caucus and the opposition prior to the announcement. The Ipsos poll showed overwhelming support for Trudeau’s decision, not just among all Canadians (81 per cent ) but even among Liberal supporters ( 70 per cent ). Overall, 30 % of Liberal voters and 19 % of Canadians said they disapproved of his resignation. Trudeau’s personal standing as leader as well as that of the Liberals have been declining in polls for more than a year. Nearly four in 10 ( 38 per cent ) Canadians gave the prime minister’s overall performance a failing grade. 2: 10
Who will reignite public support for the Liberal party once Trudeau steps down, and how? Recent polls like the one Ipsos conducted by Earnscliffe Strategies in Ottawa, according to Mary Anne Carter, principal of government relations at Earnscliffe Strategies in Ottawa. In an interview on Wednesday, Carter stated in a statement to Global News that “it’s very obvious that he’s become quite unpopular and that Canadians have expressed a lot of dissatisfaction with his leadership and some of his decisions.” She stated that whoever succeeds Trudeau will face” an uphill battle” in the upcoming election, especially given the Liberals ‘ lead over the Conservatives. Given the significant wedge that the Conservatives have ahead of the Liberal party and the NDP for that matter, Trudeau’s resignation “does at least open up the possibility of a relatively successful electoral campaign if the Liberals choose the right leader,” according to Stephen White, associate professor of political science at Carleton University in Ottawa. Given Mr. Trudeau’s unpopularity, that means any new leader has to carry that baggage and is going to face a lot of headwinds heading into an election campaign.” The bad news for them is that party leaders, especially prime ministers who have long tenures in office, really do shape public perceptions of their respective parties in important ways,” White said. ” Trending Now
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The Liberal party can hold a leadership contest in the parliament until March 24 because of the protracted shutdown. Some notable ministers, including Foreign Affairs Minister Melanie Joly and Natural Resources Minister Jonathan Wilkinson, who are both consultants with Crestview Strategy, who have previously worked for Liberal MP Ali Ehsassi, have quickly changed their focus to choose a new leader. 3: 05
The next leader will have their hands full, according to Trudeau, who insists there is no chance Canada will merge with the US in the wake of Trump’s threats.” The Canadian public are going to be looking for a leader who they believe will stand up to Donald Trump,” he added. To turn around their fortunes, the Liberals have a lot of work to do between now and the next election, experts say. According to Carter, one of the issues the Liberals have had trouble with over the past year is not engaging with Canadians about some of the significant economic issues they are facing, including the housing crisis, affordability, and an increased reliance on food banks.” I think they’re going to have to do some reflection on how they’re connecting with Canadians on some of these issues because it clearly hasn’t been working or it’s just missing the mark,” she said. The Liberals must demonstrate that they have incrementally moved the needle and worked on these issues over the past nine years, according to Byrne-Krzycki, while also acknowledging that they will move forward, do more, and do better. According to an Ipsos poll conducted for Global News between January 6 and January 7, 2025, these are some of the findings. For this survey, a sample of 1, 000 Canadians aged 18+ was interviewed online. According to census parameters, quotas and weighting were used to ensure that the sample’s composition reflects the composition of the Canadian population. Ipsos ‘ online polls ‘ accuracy are based on a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians aged 18+ been polled. The credibility gap will be wider among different demographics. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
