A recent analysis of the economic performance of West Africa has brought to light a remarkable fact: in 2023, the Guinean economy, driven by the explosion of its mining production (bauxite and alumine), temporarily surpassed that of Senegal in terms of growth rates. However, this conjunctural situation masks profoundly different structural realities and a potential for Senegalese rebound which could, in the medium term, reverse the situation again: the rebasing of Senegalese GDP. The Guinean economic situation: a miniature and volatile growth. Guinea’s performance is largely dependent on the extractive sector. The commissioning of new mines and the increase in the output of existing projects have boosted GDP, showing robust growth. However, this growth presents a double fragility. 1. the
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